New York sap flow forecast

The next several days for New York's sugaring country, read the way a sugarmaker reads them: how cold the night gets, how warm the afternoon gets, and whether that adds up to a run. The season here usually opens late February.

Clinton County has the most taps in New York, 365,777 (2022 Census of Agriculture).

Forecast for Ellenburg

Updated Sep 26, 2:21 AM EDT

It's the off-season. Sap needs freezing nights, and there are none in sight. New York's season usually opens around February 28 — 155 days from now.

No freeze-thaw days in the forecast

Blue = below 32°F · Amber = thaw · dashed line = freezing

  1. SunSep 27
    57°high
    45°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 45°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  2. MonSep 28
    54°high
    46°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 46°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  3. TueSep 29
    56°high
    47°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 47°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  4. WedSep 30
    63°high
    46°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 46°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  5. ThuOct 1
    65°high
    50°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 50°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  6. FriOct 2
    61°high
    50°low
    0h frozen
    21h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 50°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

Data: National Weather Service. Verdicts use freeze-thaw thresholds from maple field research; your woods may run a little differently.

Wyoming County in western New York made the most syrup in the state, 115,220 gallons (2022 Census of Agriculture).

Forecast for Arcade

Updated Sep 26, 7:57 AM EDT

It's the off-season. Sap needs freezing nights, and there are none in sight. New York's season usually opens around February 28 — 155 days from now.

No freeze-thaw days in the forecast

Blue = below 32°F · Amber = thaw · dashed line = freezing

  1. SunSep 27
    60°high
    50°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 50°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  2. MonSep 28
    62°high
    53°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 53°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  3. TueSep 29
    67°high
    52°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 52°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  4. WedSep 30
    69°high
    51°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 51°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  5. ThuOct 1
    70°high
    55°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 55°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  6. FriOct 2
    66°high
    55°low
    0h frozen
    21h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 55°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

Data: National Weather Service. Verdicts use freeze-thaw thresholds from maple field research; your woods may run a little differently.

St. Lawrence County has the most maple farms in New York (106) and 277,319 taps (2022 Census of Agriculture).

Forecast for Canton

Updated Sep 26, 2:21 AM EDT

It's the off-season. Sap needs freezing nights, and there are none in sight. New York's season usually opens around February 28 — 155 days from now.

No freeze-thaw days in the forecast

Blue = below 32°F · Amber = thaw · dashed line = freezing

  1. SunSep 27
    65°high
    52°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 52°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  2. MonSep 28
    64°high
    53°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 53°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  3. TueSep 29
    66°high
    51°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 51°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  4. WedSep 30
    71°high
    53°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 53°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  5. ThuOct 1
    72°high
    56°low
    0h frozen
    24h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 56°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

  6. FriOct 2
    69°high
    56°low
    0h frozen
    21h thawed
    No freeze, no run

    Low of 56°F — trees need a hard freeze to reload. No freeze, no run.

Data: National Weather Service. Verdicts use freeze-thaw thresholds from maple field research; your woods may run a little differently.

Somewhere else in New York?

Your sugarbush, your forecast

Hourly temperatures for your exact spot, turned into a day-by-day sap-run outlook. US and Canada.

Planning ahead? Typical tapping dates for New York →

Data & method

  1. National Weather Service API — NOAA National Weather Service
  2. Sap flow in sugar maple: timing and weather drivers (Frontiers in Agronomy, 2025) — de Lima Santos et al.
  3. Maple Sugaring Tips for Beginners and Backyard Maple Sugar Producers — UNH Extension
  4. North American Maple Syrup Producers Manual, 2nd ed. (Bulletin 856) — The Ohio State University Extension

Never miss the first run

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