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New Brunswick · maple atlas

Maple sugaring in Victoria, New Brunswick

Victoria is a county in New Brunswick. Statistics Canada's 2021 Census of Agriculture counted 7 farms reporting maple taps and 127,212 taps here, number 4 in New Brunswick. Around Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, sap usually runs from March 28 to April 30. Here's the long-run pattern, 35 seasons of sap weather, and the outlook this week.
Too early to tapAbout 172 days until the usual start.
Sap starts
Mar 28
weather estimate
Season ends
Apr 30
about 5 weeks
Sap days / season
35.7
1991–2025 average
Taps, 2021
127,212
#4 of 4 in NB

Sap-flow outlook at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault right now

Full New Brunswick forecast →

Forecast for Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, NB

Updated Oct 7, 10:00 AM EDT

Off-season for now. Sap needs freezing nights, and none are in sight. Victoria's season usually opens around March 28, which is 172 days away.

No freeze-thaw days in the forecast

freeze thaw 0 °C

  1. ThuOct 8
    6° / 16°
    No refreeze forecast
  2. FriOct 9
    3° / 11°
    No refreeze forecast
  3. SatOct 10
    2° / 6°
    No refreeze forecast
  4. SunOct 11
    1° / 11°
    No refreeze forecast
  5. MonOct 12
    8° / 13°
    No refreeze forecast
  6. TueOct 13
    6° / 10°
    No refreeze forecast

Data: Environment and Climate Change Canada. Verdicts use freeze-thaw thresholds from maple field research; your woods may run a little differently.

When the sap runs

The sugaring calendar at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault

Freeze-thaw weather at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault peaks in the weeks of Mar 16 to Apr 27, which hold about 62% of a season's sap days. April is the busiest month. Typical dates are a weather estimate (no official season record for this province): the median of this division's own weather signals.
Typical season: Mar 28 – Apr 300246Week of Dec 1: 1.1 sap days on averageWeek of Dec 8: 0.9 sap days on averageWeek of Dec 15: 0.8 sap days on averageWeek of Dec 22: 0.7 sap days on averageWeek of Dec 29: 0.2 sap days on averageWeek of Jan 5: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of Jan 12: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of Jan 19: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of Jan 26: 0.3 sap days on averageWeek of Feb 2: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of Feb 9: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of Feb 16: 0.7 sap days on averageWeek of Feb 23: 1.1 sap days on averageWeek of Mar 2: 1.3 sap days on averageWeek of Mar 9: 2.0 sap days on averageWeek of Mar 16: 2.7 sap days on averageWeek of Mar 23: 3.1 sap days on averageWeek of Mar 30: 3.4 sap days on averageWeek of Apr 6: 3.8 sap days on averageWeek of Apr 13: 3.7 sap days on averageWeek of Apr 20: 2.9 sap days on averageWeek of Apr 27: 2.5 sap days on averageWeek of May 4: 1.3 sap days on averageWeek of May 11: 0.7 sap days on averageWeek of May 18: 0.4 sap days on averageWeek of May 25: 0.1 sap days on averageDecJanFebMarAprMaytaps in ~Mar 28
Average number of freeze-thaw sap days in each week of the season at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, 1991–2025 (Daymet temperatures). A sap day is an overnight low under −1 °C (30.2 °F) followed by an afternoon high over +3 °C (37.4 °F). The shaded band is the typical season.

Year-to-year spread

Opening signal
Median Mar 28; the middle half of seasons fell between Mar 25 and Mar 31. Earliest Mar 8 (2010), latest Apr 10 (2020).
Closing signal
Median Apr 30; middle half between Apr 25 and May 2. Earliest Apr 12 (2010), latest May 14 (2020).
Sap days by month
Dec10%Jan4%Feb7%Mar29%Apr41%May9%

35 seasons of sap weather

Victoria seasons, 1991–2025

The best sap year at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault was 1999 with 53 freeze-thaw days; the leanest was 2003 with 24. Seasons that start early tend to end early too: the trees run on the swing between freezing nights and mild days, and heat ends it.
JanFebMarAprMaysap days20252025: Mar 25 – Apr 18, 28 sap days2820242024: Mar 24 – Apr 28, 44 sap days4420232023: Mar 25 – Apr 28, 38 sap days3820222022: Mar 30 – May 2, 35 sap days3520212021: Mar 17 – Apr 16, 26 sap days2620202020: Apr 10 – May 14, 47 sap days4720192019: Mar 31 – May 1, 27 sap days2720182018: Mar 29 – Apr 23, 36 sap days3620172017: Mar 27 – Apr 25, 29 sap days2920162016: Apr 2 – May 2, 42 sap days4220152015: Mar 30 – May 3, 27 sap days2720142014: Apr 3 – May 7, 31 sap days3120132013: Mar 25 – Apr 29, 40 sap days4020122012: Mar 15 – Apr 15, 37 sap days3720112011: Mar 31 – May 2, 37 sap days3720102010: Mar 8 – Apr 12, 36 sap days3620092009: Mar 26 – Apr 30, 39 sap days3920082008: Mar 27 – Apr 29, 33 sap days3320072007: Apr 2 – May 6, 39 sap days3920062006: Mar 28 – Apr 15, 31 sap days3120052005: Mar 27 – Apr 23, 39 sap days3920042004: Mar 28 – Apr 30, 35 sap days3520032003: Apr 3 – May 5, 24 sap days2420022002: Mar 29 – May 2, 40 sap days4020012001: Mar 29 – Apr 30, 38 sap days3820002000: Mar 27 – Apr 30, 41 sap days4119991999: Mar 25 – Apr 28, 53 sap days5319981998: Mar 25 – Apr 23, 25 sap days2519971997: Apr 5 – May 9, 34 sap days3419961996: Mar 24 – Apr 26, 35 sap days3519951995: Apr 1 – May 2, 37 sap days3719941994: Mar 30 – May 3, 40 sap days4019931993: Mar 22 – Apr 25, 26 sap days2619921992: Apr 4 – May 8, 37 sap days3719911991: Mar 28 – Apr 30, 45 sap days45
Each bar runs from the season's opening signal to its closing signal, estimated from daily Daymet temperatures at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault. Dashed lines mark the typical dates. The right column counts freeze-thaw sap days from December through May.

Maple production

Victoria in the Census of Agriculture

Statistics Canada counts the farms that report maple taps in its Census of Agriculture every five years. In 2021 it counted 7 in Victoria, with 127,212 taps; in 2016, 8 farms and 71,270 taps. Among New Brunswick's 4 census divisions with a published tap count, Victoria ranks 4th, and 56th of the 94 in this atlas.

Over the five years the farm count changed −12% and taps +78%. Statistics Canada cautions that 2021 and 2016 are not strictly comparable: the census-farm definition changed in 2021, and farms were assigned to their main location more strictly.

Statistics Canada doesn't publish syrup volume by census division, so the Canadian pages show farms and taps, not gallons or litres.

Victoria maple production, 2016 and 2021 (Statistics Canada, Census of Agriculture)
Census yearFarms reporting tapsTaps
20217127,212E
2016871,270
  • E Statistics Canada quality grade: use with caution.

Nearby

Neighboring maple divisions

Distances are between reference towns; typical dates are each division's own estimate.

About these numbers

The season dates are estimated from 35 seasons of daily high and low temperatures for the Daymet 1-km grid cell at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, the division's most populous municipality in the 2021 Census; the cell sits at 153 m (502 ft). Each day is scored with the same freeze-thaw rule as our live forecast: a sap day is an overnight low under −1 °C (30.2 °F) followed by an afternoon high over +3 °C (37.4 °F). A season's closing signal is the last sap day before accumulated warmth reaches a threshold, and the opening signal sits 35 days before that, never earlier than the first real freeze-thaw week. The rule was calibrated on 117 state-seasons of USDA-reported dates in the US and is applied here unchanged. New Brunswick has no official season record, so the typical dates are a weather estimate. Production figures are copied from Statistics Canada as published. Full method, the Daymet checks and the Quebec validation → Run a sugarhouse here? Put this sap forecast on your own website →

Sources · 7

  1. 1.Maple taps, Census of Agriculture, 2021 (Table 32-10-0362-01) · Statistics Canada
  2. 2.Maple taps, Census of Agriculture, 2011 and 2016 (Table 32-10-0423-01) · Statistics Canada
  3. 3.Daymet: Daily Surface Weather Data on a 1-km Grid for North America, Version 4 R1 · ORNL DAAC
  4. 4.Sap flow in sugar maple: timing and weather drivers (Frontiers in Agronomy, 2025) · de Lima Santos et al.
  5. 5.2021 Census cartographic boundary files (census divisions, population centres) · Statistics Canada
  6. 6.Population and dwelling counts, 2021 Census (Tables 98-10-0002-01 and 98-10-0011-01) · Statistics Canada
Show 1 more
  1. 7.GeoNames geographical database (CA) · GeoNames

Licences and attribution

  • Adapted from Statistics Canada, Census of Agriculture 2021 and 2016 (Tables 32-10-0362-01 and 32-10-0423-01), 2021 Census population and dwelling counts (Tables 98-10-0002-01 and 98-10-0011-01) and 2021 Census cartographic boundary files. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.
  • Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
  • Thornton, M.M., R. Shrestha, Y. Wei, P.E. Thornton, S-C. Kao, and B.E. Wilson. 2022. Daymet: Daily Surface Weather Data on a 1-km Grid for North America, Version 4 R1. ORNL DAAC, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA. https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/2129
  • Place coordinates: GeoNames (geonames.org), CC BY 4.0.

FAQ

Victoria sugaring questions

When should I tap maple trees in Victoria, New Brunswick?
In a typical year the sap starts running around March 28 near Grand Falls / Grand-Sault and the season winds down around April 30. Have your taps in a day or two before the first forecast string of nights below −1 °C and days above +3 °C. In the past 35 seasons the weather signal came as early as Mar 8 and as late as Apr 10.
How much maple syrup does Victoria produce?
Statistics Canada doesn't publish syrup volume by census division. Its 2021 Census of Agriculture counted 7 farms reporting 127,212 maple taps in Victoria, number 4 of 4 New Brunswick divisions with a published count.
How many sap days does Victoria get in a season?
On average 35.7 freeze-thaw sap days from December through May at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, of which about 11.1 are textbook days with a night between about −7 and −2 °C and a day between 4 and 9 °C. The best season since 1991 was 1999 (53 sap days); the leanest was 2003 (24).
Where do these dates come from?
From 35 seasons of daily high and low temperatures at Grand Falls / Grand-Sault (Daymet 1-km grid), scored with the same freeze-thaw rule as our live forecast. New Brunswick has no official season record, so they are a weather estimate. They describe a typical year at one point in the division; your sugarbush, slope and elevation can shift them by days.

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